Hapag-Lloyd raises its 2026 operating profit forecast by 47% amid developments in freight rates

The German shipping company sets its EBIT estimate at between $2.0 billion and $2.4 billion and raises the upper limit of its EBITDA forecast to $5.0 billion

Hapag-Lloyd raises its 2026 operating profit forecast by 47% amid developments in freight rates
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The German shipping company Hapag-Lloyd has once again revised upward its earnings forecasts for 2026, driven by developments in maritime spot freight rates and business performance in the fourth quarter, which was better than initially expected. On Wednesday, November 11, the company announced a new operating profit (EBIT) estimate of between $2.0 billion and $2.4 billion, up from the previous range of $1.25 billion to $1.75 billion.

The revision represents a 46.7% increase in the midpoint of the EBIT forecast, which rises from $1.5 billion to $2.2 billion. Hapag-Lloyd’s board of directors made the decision after assessing recent developments in the container shipping market and expectations for the final months of the financial year.

The company has also raised its forecast for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA), which it now puts at between $4.6 billion and $5.0 billion, compared with the previously projected $3.9 billion to $4.4 billion. This change represents an approximate 15.7% increase in the midpoint of the estimate, from $4.15 billion to $4.8 billion.

In euros, Hapag-Lloyd expects to achieve EBITDA of between €4.0 billion and €4.4 billion, while EBIT is expected to range from €1.7 billion to €2.1 billion. Previous forecasts projected EBITDA of between €3.4 billion and €3.8 billion and EBIT of between €1.1 billion and €1.5 billion.

This is the shipping company’s third upward revision to its earnings forecasts in 2026. On July 13, the company adjusted its initial estimates in response to market developments, and on September 28 it raised them again due to transport demand and the performance of spot rates.

In that second update, Hapag-Lloyd set an EBITDA forecast of between $3.9 billion and $4.4 billion and an EBIT forecast of between $1.25 billion and $1.75 billion. Those figures have been superseded by the new estimates announced on Wednesday.

The company attributes this latest revision to the persistence of high spot rates. This market segment covers short-term shipping services, whose prices can fluctuate depending on capacity supply, demand and operating conditions on major trade routes.

However, Hapag-Lloyd warns that its new forecasts remain subject to a considerable degree of uncertainty, due to freight rate volatility and ongoing geopolitical challenges affecting international shipping.

The announcement was made through an official notification of inside information, pursuant to Article 17 of the European Market Abuse Regulation.

Hapag-Lloyd plans to publish its financial report for the first nine months of 2026 this Thursday, November 12, detailing the performance of its key financial and operational metrics through the end of September.

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